Preloader

Weekly Market & Technical Analysis

Real-time price movements, market trends, and weekly technical outlook across EU ETS, UK ETS, FuelEU Maritime, and other carbon and fuel markets.

EUA Prices: Historical Overview

How Have EUA Prices Changed?

The EUA market traded at around €15 in 2018, before entering a strong upward trend as the European Union introduced stricter climate policies and the supply of allowances gradually declined.

Key price levels can generally be summarized as follows:

2018: ~€15+
2019: ~€25+
2021: ~€54+
2022: ~€80+
2023: ~€84+
2024: ~€65+
2025: ~€70+
2026: ~€80+

Following the rise in 2022–2023, the market saw a significant correction in 2024, while prices moved within a wider range in 2025. In 2026, EUA prices climbed back above €90, showing that volatility in the carbon market remains strong.

~€15

2018

~€25

2018

~€54

2018

~€80

2018

~€84

2018

~€65

2018

~€60–80

2018

~€65

2018

What Factors Drive EUA Prices?

EUA prices are not driven by a single factor. The carbon market is directly influenced by energy prices, the European economy, industrial production, emission levels, market supply, and European Union climate policies.

In particular, the long-term reduction in allowance supply under the EU ETS, stricter emission reduction targets, and the expansion of the system’s scope are increasing the strategic importance of EUAs.

On the other hand, an economic slowdown, lower energy demand, or declining industrial production may reduce EUA demand and create downward pressure on prices.

Therefore, both short-term price movements and long-term supply-demand dynamics should be considered when evaluating the EUA market.

EUAs in the Maritime Sector

With the inclusion of shipping in the EU ETS, EUA costs have become a direct financial item that shipowners and operators need to manage.

As a fleet’s emissions and related EUA requirements increase, changes in EUA prices can directly affect a company’s total compliance costs.

Therefore, rather than purchasing EUAs only during the compliance period, it is important to analyze market conditions and future requirements in advance.

Our Solution at EU Carbon Markets

EUA price movements and increasing regulations make a professional carbon management strategy essential for shipowners and vessel operators.

At EU Carbon Markets, we manage your EU ETS obligations not only through EUA procurement, but as an end-to-end carbon management process.

EUA Procurement

We manage EUA procurement based on your fleet and vessel needs, developing suitable sourcing strategies by considering market conditions and purchase timing.

Market Monitoring and Price Analysis

We track EUA price movements, supply-demand dynamics, and key market developments to help our clients make more informed purchasing decisions.

Emissions and EUA Requirements Analysis

We assess emissions data at vessel and fleet level to help estimate future EUA requirements in advance. This approach allows companies to plan not only their current obligations but also their future carbon costs.

EU ETS Compliance Process

In addition to EUA procurement, we support the effective management of the EU ETS compliance process. We assist our clients with emissions data assessment, determining EUA requirements, and planning the EUA surrender process.

EUCMX Platform

Through our EUCMX platform, clients can manage EUA and carbon market transactions faster, more transparently, and with greater control. Digital market monitoring and transaction management through the platform enable more effective tracking of carbon assets.

Managing Carbon Costs in Advance

The rise in EUA prices from around €15 to €80–90 over the years clearly shows how important carbon costs have become in long-term planning.

Especially for shipping companies with high EUA requirements, purchase timing, price risk, and cash flow should be evaluated together.

Therefore, a successful carbon market strategy is not simply about “buying EUAs.”

Procuring the right amount, at the right time, with the right strategy is the foundation of effective carbon cost management.

At EU Carbon Markets, we help our clients manage their EU ETS needs through market analysis, EUA procurement, and our digital solutions.

We are here not just to track the EUA market, but to help you manage your carbon costs.

Aradığınız Yanıtı Bulamadınız?

Karbon yönetimi ve regülasyon uyumu, çalışmalarımızın temelini oluşturur.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

EU ETS Hakkında Merak Edilenler

EUA (European Union Allowance), EU ETS kapsamında 1 ton CO₂e emisyonunu karşılamak için kullanılan emisyon tahsisatıdır. Şirketlerin yıllık teslim yükümlülüğü, doğrulanmış kapsam içi emisyonlarına göre belirlenir.

2026 raporlama yılı itibarıyla denizcilik sektöründe kapsam içi emisyonlar %100 oranında EU ETS'ye dahil edilmiştir. Ayrıca CH₄ (Metan) ve N₂O (Diazot Monoksit) emisyonları da sisteme eklenmiştir.

AB/AEA limanları arasındaki seferler ile liman içi emisyonlar %100, AB/AEA ile üçüncü ülkeler arasındaki seferler ise %50 oranında kapsam içindedir. Özel durumlar için resmi mevzuat dikkate alınmalıdır.

Hayır. Gönüllü karbon kredileri veya Enerji Nitelik Sertifikaları (EAC), EU ETS kapsamındaki EUA teslim yükümlülüğünün yerine kullanılamaz.

Bir önceki raporlama yılına ait doğrulanmış emisyonları karşılayan EUA'lar, her yıl 30 Eylül tarihine kadar teslim edilmelidir.

Öncelikle yıllık EUA ihtiyacı, bütçe ve risk limitleri belirlenir. Ardından kademeli alım, bütçe limitleri veya uygun yetkili kurumlar aracılığıyla farklı risk yönetimi yöntemleri değerlendirilebilir. Hiçbir yöntem belirli bir fiyat sonucunu garanti etmez.

Hayır. EUCMX'in rolü sunulan hizmet kapsamına göre belirlenir. Emisyon raporlarının bağımsız doğrulaması, yetkili ve akredite doğrulayıcı kuruluşlar tarafından gerçekleştirilir.